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Research desk

Six strategy tracks for finding better prediction-market decisions.

Built for a light backend: read Polymarket market data, CLOB prices, public trader activity, and news context. You get a thesis, risks, and a next step. You still control every trade.

01

Event/news latency

Watch verified news and compare it against recent price movement before markets fully reprice.

  • Inputs: RSS, official sources, CLOB price changes
  • Rule: act only when source, price, and liquidity line up
  • Risk: stale news and wide spreads
02

Resolution-source specialist

Read the exact settlement criteria and source document before the market crowd notices wording risk.

  • Inputs: rules, official data, deadline
  • Rule: no primary source, no trade
  • Risk: ambiguous resolution language
03

Cross-market gaps

Compare Polymarket prices against related Polymarket markets, exchange prices, and outcome baskets.

  • Inputs: venue prices, fees, spreads
  • Rule: edge must survive slippage
  • Risk: latency and settlement mismatch
04

Liquidity and microstructure

Track spread, depth, imbalance, and recent fills to avoid chasing thin markets.

  • Inputs: book, midpoint, spread, trade flow
  • Rule: cap size by available depth
  • Risk: adverse selection around news
05

Smart-wallet watchlist

Follow public traders by category behavior, not one-off P&L screenshots.

  • Inputs: Data API trades, activity, positions
  • Rule: never copy after the price already moved
  • Risk: hidden hedges and wallet clusters
06

Category calibration

Measure whether category prices are consistently miscalibrated by time horizon and liquidity.

  • Inputs: price history, outcomes, category tags
  • Rule: walk-forward tests before confidence
  • Risk: overfitting and low liquidity
Analyzer

Market read template

Upload screenshot or paste market URL

Polymarket screenshots, market URLs, and event pages

Example output

BTC year-end market looks momentum-led, but the edge depends on liquidity.

Next step: check orderbook depth, compare exchange price trend, and avoid entry if the spread is above your slippage limit.

Strategy builder

50 chats per day

PolyDeck: Tell me the market, time horizon, and what you think the crowd is missing.

50 chats left today
Watchlist

Public traders to study, not blindly copy.

Car

Public Polymarket profile shared by Zee. Use as a long-form trader watchlist starting point.

polymarket.com/@car

BoerAc

High public leaderboard P&L at research time. Treat as possible market-making or semi-systematic behavior.

polymarket.com/@BoerAc

RN1

High public all-time activity. Study categories and timing, not raw P&L.

polymarket.com/@RN1

aenews2

News/politics-style public activity. Useful for event-driven market research examples.

polymarket.com/@aenews2

Light backend plan

Keep Vercel simple: read APIs first, store only what we need.

  1. Gamma API for market discovery and metadata.
  2. CLOB public endpoints for books, midpoint, spread, and price history.
  3. Data API for public trades, activity, leaderboard, and positions.
  4. One scheduled worker for snapshots, one thin API for the UI, managed Postgres when needed.
  5. No order execution, no private keys, no copy-trading bot until explicitly enabled.